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18/03/2025 Harry

Limits to Growth Explained #3: Understanding the delayed effects of birth rate changes

About the Series This three-part series is inspired and informed by Limits to Growth and its subsequent editions. In it, we will explore systems dynamics questions, and use Machinations models to answer them. Our conclusions so far In our last Limits to Growth article, we used our model to understand why developed, post-industrial populations can decline: …

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12/03/2025 Harry

Limits to Growth Explained #2: Understanding what causes population decline

About the Series This three-part series is inspired and informed by Limits to Growth and its subsequent editions. In it, we will explore systems dynamics questions, and use Machinations models to answer them. In our first Limits to Growth article, we explored why the world’s population has grown. This time, we begin to explore what causes …

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12/03/2025 Harry

Limits to Growth Explained #1: Understanding what causes rapid population growth

About the Series This three-part series is inspired and informed by Limits to Growth and its subsequent editions. In it, we will explore systems dynamics questions, and use Machinations models to answer them. This time, the question relates to the human population: What exactly has caused the surge in population over the last several centuries? The …

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10/03/2025 Harry

Beyond Averages: How Monte Carlo Simulation Reveals the True Risks of Venture Capital Investing

The Danger of Averages One of the core and intractable challenges when simulating an uncertain future is the problem of quantisation: when an all-or-nothing outcome is distilled into an average that distorts the true meaning of the data. Though it’s often easier to say “Investing in this asset has an average return of 110%”, most …

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29/10/2024 Alexandre

Understanding Systems Thinking: A Framework for Solving Complex Problems

Unlocking the Power of Systems Thinking: An Approach to Tackling Complexity with Machinations Every industry today is shaped by a multitude of interconnected elements. From supply chains and business operations to financial systems and user interactions, the complexity can be overwhelming. In such environments, traditional problem-solving methods often fall short. What’s needed is a framework …

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