Build a Machinations economy model for the current early-game progression of a medieval RPG called **1353**. > > The goal of the model is to simulate whether a player can progress from a fresh start to a **Timbered House**, using the exact progression chain below. > > Do not invent additional requirements, prices, crafting costs, stamina costs, or progression gates. If a value is not specified, leave it as an adjustable parameter rather than assuming one. > > ## Starting state > > Fresh player starts with: > > * Wattle Hovel > * 50 stamina > * 0p coin > * 2 visible field strips > * 1 Wheat Seed > * storage capacity 40 > > Tutorial progression eventually gives the player: > > * Thatched Cottage > * Timber Storehouse > * storage capacity 120 > * approximately 10 Wheat > * 1 Wheat Seed > * approximately 26 stamina remaining > > Tutorial trade: > > * player crafts Wooden Pegs > * special tutorial sale: 3 Wooden Pegs for 1p > > ## Core active action costs > > * Plough field: 3 stamina > * Sow field: 1 stamina > * Harvest field: 2 stamina > * Gather Wood: 5 stamina > * Shape Worked Timber: 2 stamina > * Craft wooden goods: 2 stamina > * Hunt: 6 stamina > * Village labour: 6 stamina > > Stamina regenerates automatically over real time and should not be treated as permanently finite. > > ## Farming > > Wheat: > > * crop growth timer: 5 minutes > * recurring field cycle after initial ploughing is Sow + Harvest > * expected fair yield: approximately 4.3 Wheat per harvest > > Market value: > > * Wheat average value approximately 1.286p each > > Farming must therefore be able to generate both food stock and saleable produce over repeated cycles. > > ## Woodwork > > Gather Wood: > > * costs 5 stamina > * produces 3 Wood under normal current-game assumptions > > Shape Worked Timber: > > * consumes 1 Wood > * costs 2 stamina > * produces 1 Worked Timber > > Wooden Peg crafting: > > * consumes 1 Worked Timber > * costs 2 stamina > * produces 3 Wooden Pegs on success > > Woodwork improves through repeated wood gathering and crafting. > > Woodwork 2.00 is reachable through normal repeated woodwork activity and must NOT be treated as an impossible external gate. > > ## Early Estate progression > > The player must build the following before Timbered House: > > ### Poultry Yard > > Requires: > > * 8p > * 12 Wood > * 4 Worked Timber > * 3 Wooden Pegs > * 6 Barley retained > * build time 5 minutes > > ### Carpenter's Shed > > Requires: > > * 60p > * 24 Wood > * 12 Worked Timber > * 6 Wooden Pegs > * Woodwork 2.00 > * build time 10 minutes > > ### Timbered House > > Requires: > > * 48p > * 35 Wood > * 15 Worked Timber > * 9 Wooden Pegs > * Woodwork 2.00 > * Timber Storehouse already built > * Poultry Yard already built > * Carpenter's Shed already built > * build time 30 minutes > > Do not add Iron, Stone, Nails, Smithing or any other material to Timbered House. Those belong to later progression. > > ## Land expansion > > During early progression the player may expand: > > * 2 strips → 3 strips for 8p > * 3 strips → 5 strips for 16p once Farming 2.00 is reached > > These expansions increase farming production but are not themselves the Timbered House material cost. > > ## Coin generation > > Coin is renewable. > > The player can earn coin through: > > * selling Wheat and other crops > * selling crafted wooden goods > * village labour > * hunting > * later livestock produce > > Village labour is repeatable on separate game days and must not be modeled as the only source of coin. > > Farming and crafting should be modeled as renewable production loops, not one-time sources. > > ## Simulation objective > > Simulate progression until the player can satisfy all Timbered House requirements. > > The model must answer: > > 1. Is Timbered House reachable? > 2. Which resource is the main bottleneck? > 3. Approximate number of farming cycles needed > 4. Approximate number of wood-gathering/crafting actions needed > 5. Approximate coin required in total before Timbered House, including Poultry Yard and Carpenter's Shed > 6. Approximate real-time progression for a regular player > > Total mandatory coin cost from these three specified buildings alone is: > > * Poultry Yard: 8p > * Carpenter's Shed: 60p > * Timbered House: 48p > * Total = **116p** > > Do not conclude progression is impossible merely because the player starts with 0p. Coin, Wood, crops, Worked Timber and Wooden Pegs are all renewable resources. > > ## Model structure > > Represent: > > * Stamina as a regenerating Pool > * Coin as a Pool with renewable Sources and expenditure Drains > * Wood, Worked Timber, Wooden Pegs, Wheat and Barley as Pools > * Farming, wood gathering, crafting, labour and selling as renewable flows/converters > * Building requirements as Gates > * Building completion as permanent progression states > > Make the diagram modular and easy to expand later into Stone House, ironworking, education, Coventry economy and Estate Dues. > > Most importantly: **validate reachability before reporting a bottleneck. Never treat renewable resources as finite starting resources.**
