Machinations

Defense economics modeling and simulation software

Model the long-horizon economics behind defense decisions: how fast stockpiles drain, how long production takes to ramp up, and what each exchange costs both sides. Build it as a diagram you can Play, forecast and question with your team.

Machinations editor paused at month 9 of 24 in a Play of an illustrative drone and interceptor attrition model: drone and interceptor production lines feed stockpiles, and each side's spend is counted. The Play summary and the cards for the defender's interceptor stockpile and cumulative spend sit under the canvas.Machinations editor paused at month 9 of 24 in a Play of an illustrative drone and interceptor attrition model: drone and interceptor production lines feed stockpiles, and each side's spend is counted. The Play summary and the cards for the defender's interceptor stockpile and cumulative spend sit under the canvas.

What you can do with it

  • Stockpiles and magazine depth

    Represent interceptor and munitions inventories with their production, deliveries and consumption.

  • The cost of the exchange

    Put a price on both sides of an engagement, such as cheap one-way attack drones against costly interceptors.

  • Industrial ramp and bottlenecks

    Model production capacity as something that takes investment and time to grow, with supplier lead times that can stall it.

  • Uncertainty you can see

    Wave sizes, interception rates and delivery delays are uncertain, so let them vary.

  • Assumptions anyone can review

    Every stock, flow and rate is on the canvas, readable by an analyst who does not write code, and the AI Builder can draft a first model from a public report or a brief.

  • The economic layer above your other tools

    Engagement simulators, training environments and data platforms answer questions measured in minutes and hours.

How long can the defense afford the exchange?

This is an illustrative model with stated assumptions, not a forecast of any real conflict.

Know how long the exchange can be afforded

Model stockpiles, production ramps and attrition, then Forecast how each choice changes the cost over the long horizon.

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