Drone and interceptor attrition economy
About this model
An illustrative model of the cost of an air-defense exchange. An Attacker produces and launches cheap one-way attack drones every month; a Defender produces costly interceptors, which take three months to arrive, and fires them at the drones that are engaged, with the wave size and the interception chance changing from month to month. It tracks both stockpiles, both sides' cumulative spend in $ millions, the cost-exchange ratio and the month the Defender's interceptor stockpile can no longer cover the firing, over 24 months. The numbers are assumptions at a realistic order of magnitude, not a forecast of any real conflict.
"Drone and interceptor attrition economy" is a public Machinations diagram shared in the Community by Machinations, with 56 components.
It was created in October 2026 and last edited in October 2026.
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